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Monday,
March 24, 2008 |
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GIVEN
the volatility in the equity and financial
markets since late last year, investors,
both retail and institutional, are looking
for safer places to park their money. Inflationary
pressure also plays a role in where the
money goes. |
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Property
is an asset class that, in recent times,
has entered the radar of investors seeking
capital gains, yields or as a hedge against
inflation. |
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For
example, in tandem with economic growth,
the property markets of Ireland and Spain
were booming until recently while in metropolises
such as Hong Kong, London, Mumbai, New York,
Shanghai, Singapore and Sydney, commercial
and residential property prices have risen
due to their roles as global or regional
financial hubs. |
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However,
this asset class is complex, as street and
market sentiment count for a lot. For residential
properties, investment is based heavily
on location while for commercial properties,
economic growth and business sentiment are
important factors. Supply and demand also
influence the price, capital gains and yields.
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Property
prices in certain markets might have levelled
off or fallen on account of the mortgage
crisis in the US and the subsequent turmoil
that has ensued but if ever there was a
time to purchase property it might be now
in those markets that have seen falling
prices such as in the US. |
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The
US Federal Reserve's move to cut the federal
funds rate - the key interest rate that
influences consumer credit, has also fuelled
a property boom in Asia where interest rates
have been kept low in tandem with the Fed's.
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Due
to this comparatively low-interest rate
regime across most of East and Southeast
Asia, there is a good spread or gap between
returns and financing of properties. |
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Australia
on the other hand is facing higher interest
rates but due to the lack of supply in the
residential component of the property market,
there might be a property boom although
not till two years down the road when pressure
for housing builds up, according to a February
report by an economist with an Australian
bank. |
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The
equity markets in Australia have also not
been spared the turmoil that has hit other
markets, he said, adding that this has provided
added impetus, outside of the high interest
rate regime, for investing in property.
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He
said most investors do not chase yield but
capital gains when looking at property.
A property boom may be around the corner
due to the lack of housing supply in cities
such as Melbourne, Perth and Sydney in recent
times, he said. |
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Hall
Chadwick Asia Sdn Bhd chairman Kumar Tharmalingam
said the general rule of thumb in managing
portfolio of investments is 20% in cash,
30% in property and 50% in equities and
bonds. |
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“In
the current scenario, the 30% investment
in property is very stable because rental
is determined over entire term period and
not based on the market's current volatility,”
he told StarBiz. |
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Kumar
said owing to the recent volatility in the
equity markets, it might not be a good idea
to take positions, “but there may
be opportunities to take profit.”
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He
said the consequences of the financial crisis
in the US would be higher borrowing costs,
as banks turned cautious on borrowers. “We're
going to be affected by the sub-prime crisis
by association due to tightening of credit
worldwide,” Kumar added. |
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He
said capital gains on property are also
seen as a hedge against inflation. “Its
a good time to own property if you've debt-free
real estate or existing debt on easier terms
that is also fully-led,” Kumar said.
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Regroup
Associates Sdn Bhd executive director Paul
Khong said investors would only look at
sizable investment grade-type commercial
properties when looking for yields or capital
gains. “Luxury residential properties
led the way in transactions until a year
ago when commercial properties started to
see transactions in the RM1,000 psf range.
Before that it was between RM500 psf and
RM600 psf,” he said. |
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Since
then we've seen values of commercial properties
soaring, Khong said, adding that until the
advent of real estate investment trusts
and their emphasis on yields, most investors
did not acquire properties to look for yields.
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“Now,
we're looking at an industry average net
yield of between 6% and 7% within the Klang
Valley for choice office properties while
it is 8% for industrial properties,”
he said. |
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(Source: http://biz.thestar.com.my) |
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